Vietnam Wins Investment-Grade Rating As Hanoi Exchange Folds Into Ho Chi Minh City

Source: VnEconomy
Vietnam Enters Investment Grade For The First Time
Japan’s Rating and Investment Information (R&I) has raised Vietnam’s foreign-currency credit rating to BBB- with a stable outlook, up one notch from BB+ with a positive outlook. The decision carries Vietnam into investment grade for the first time on the agency’s scale.
Clearing that line changes what Vietnam pays to borrow. A higher rating trims the cost of raising money abroad, and it opens government bonds to pension funds, insurers and other institutions whose mandates bar them from anything below investment grade.
R&I rested its decision on four strengths that point to an economy in reasonably good health. Growth has held up, driven by public investment and foreign capital. The government has slimmed its bureaucracy, pushed the private sector forward and continued to build out capital markets. Public debt remains modest against the size of the economy, leaving room to borrow for new projects. And more foreign currency flows in than out, cushioning the country against shocks from abroad.
The agency still flagged soft spots in the banking system: credit expanding faster than funding, heavy exposure to real estate lending and thin provisioning buffers. Foreign exchange reserves, it noted, remain less than ample.
All HNX Stocks Shift To HoSE In December
Every share listed on the Hanoi Stock Exchange (HNX) that falls within the transfer will stop trading on Dec. 24 and 25, then reopen on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HoSE) on Dec. 28.
After that date, HoSE becomes the single venue for listed shares, fund certificates and covered warrants, while HNX continues to run the bond market, derivatives and the UPCoM board. The reorganization follows Circular 139/2025/TT-BTC, which maps out the restructuring of Vietnam’s securities markets.
Alongside the transfer, the State Securities Commission is weighing four changes to the mechanics of trading. The first would keep the market open through the lunch break, now a pause from 11:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. The second would widen the daily price band, the maximum a stock may climb or fall in a single session. The third would scrap the periodic call auction, which collects orders and matches them in one batch to set the closing price. The fourth would shorten the settlement cycle below T+2, delivering shares or cash to investors sooner than two business days after they place an order. Deputy Finance Minister Nguyễn Đức Chi laid out the proposals at the ministry’s third-quarter news conference.
Consolidating every listed share on one exchange will make it easier for investors to track liquidity, price movements and indexes, and it draws a clearer line between what each exchange does.
Regulators are also considering sorting shares into quality tiers suited to different investors, judged on four criteria: charter capital, foreign ownership and how easily foreign investors can buy in, the share of stock that trades freely, and a company’s standing — whether its shares sit under warning, control, trading restriction or suspension.
The commission cautioned that these proposals remain at the study stage and must be assessed for their impact before any rollout across the market.
A Public Investment Sprint Could Squeeze Bank Funding
Vietnam had disbursed 660.74 trillion dong ($25.5 billion) of public investment capital through Oct. 15, or 64.6 percent of the plan assigned by the prime minister, according to a Ministry of Finance update. That leaves more than 361 trillion dong ($14 billion) of this year’s 1,022.6 trillion-dong ($39.5 billion) plan to spend in under three months.
State money seeds many of those projects rather than funding them outright, and the rest must come from private companies and banks. The year-end crush therefore lands squarely in the peak lending season, when borrowing demand across the economy runs hottest.
Companies borrow to build the public projects and to stock up for their busiest production months, while the State Treasury issues government bonds to cover the shortfall, with commercial banks among the buyers. Money inside the banks flows out as loans and into bonds faster than deposits come in, a mismatch that can push the system toward a liquidity squeeze — too little cash on hand to pay depositors when they withdraw.
That risk weighs heaviest on infrastructure lending. Vietnamese savers typically lock up deposits for six to 12 months, while a road or bridge can take five to 10 years to pay for itself. When banks fund long projects with short deposits and new deposits fail to replace what is withdrawn, the money already sunk into half-built works cannot be called back.
The State Bank of Vietnam has issued Circular 50/2026/TT-NHNN, lifting the cap on the loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) to 95 percent from 85 percent. The circular takes effect on Dec. 1, 2026, with a transition period that begins on Oct. 1, 2028. Banks that meet the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) and net stable funding ratio (NSFR) requirements may adopt the new ceiling earlier.
The change belongs to Vietnam’s rollout of Basel III, the international standard that requires banks to hold enough capital and cash in reserve. SSI Research cautioned that raising the ceiling only shifts a lending limit; it brings no new deposits into the system, so the pressure on liquidity and the need for fresh funding both remain.
To lean less on bank credit, corporate bonds, municipal bonds and infrastructure project bonds have been floated as supplementary sources of capital. SSI Research argued that a deeper bond market relieves the banks only if investors outside the banking system step in to supply the money. Should banks themselves keep buying the bonds, both the funding and the risk stay concentrated where they already are.
BW Industrial Targets A 2027 Listing In Vietnam
BW Industrial, a developer that leases ready-built factories and warehouses across Vietnam, is accelerating preparations for an initial public offering in 2027, according to sources cited by Nikkei Asia. The company has not announced the plan, saying only that it is focused on its long-term growth strategy.
Ahead of any listing, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is weighing an investment of up to $50 million in BW Industrial’s Series C round, the last round a company typically raises before going public. Project documents on the AIIB website say the money would help BW Industrial expand its supply of ready-built factories and logistics facilities in Vietnam’s main manufacturing and distribution hubs. The project remains classified as proposed, with due diligence still to come.
Warburg Pincus and Becamex IDC founded BW Industrial in 2018. The company now runs 61 projects across 10 provinces and cities on more than 1,000 hectares of land, with 4.4 million square meters of factory and warehouse space finished and another 1.8 million under construction. As of the end of 2025 it counted 470 tenants, 90 percent of them foreign companies, and managed assets worth nearly $3.9 billion.
Demand for ready-built facilities has surged as manufacturers shift production out of China under “China plus one” strategies. Leasing lets a manufacturer start its lines the moment it arrives in Vietnam, without waiting out construction. On the warehouse side, the expansion of electronics and e-commerce has driven storage demand, with large tenants such as Shopee and 7-Eleven among the users.
Saigon AI Hub Switches To Commissioned Research
Saigon AI Hub (SAIH) and the Google AI Futures Fund have launched the second cohort of the Applied AI Lab on a commissioned model. Businesses, government agencies and other organizations submit real problems; SAIH matches each with a research team to build a solution and supports the push toward commercialization. Four fields take priority in the first phase: manufacturing, agriculture, climate change and national-scale problems such as the quality of public transport.
The approach inverts the first cohort, in which teams started from their own research interests. Lê Hồng Minh, founder and chairman of VNG, the technology company behind Zalo and a co-founder of SAIH, said the first cohort’s output reflected academic curiosity more than practical need, so the second will start from problems that genuinely require solving.
SAIH will accept submissions from Oct. 8 through the end of November 2026, then recruit research teams and open a six-month research phase in February 2027. By 2027, the program aims to deliver six successful real-world pilots, three commercialized solutions and one new startup.
Genesia Ventures is an early-stage venture capital firm operating in Japan and Southeast Asia, with a strong belief in the long-term potential of Vietnam’s digital economy. Beyond providing capital, the fund actively supports startups through strategic guidance and connections to a broader regional network.